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Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors.
Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved

Portfolio Mix

Click on the dial to see the conservative, moderate & aggressive portfolio strategies.

Asset Allocation
10%
Equities
20%
Indices
10%
Forex
10%
Commodities
50%
Bonds
Note: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation suggested by this tool
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
equites
Colgate Palmolive
Trend
Range 68.32-78.97
While the market has declined by double digits over the trailing 12 months, Colgate stock is only down about 7%. Colgate-Palmolive is also a diligent dividend payer. Not only has it been paying a dividend since 1895 (nearly 130 years), but it has nearly 60 years of consecutive dividend increases to its name. What's so compelling about a business-like Colgate-Pal-molive for investors seeking something of a safe haven in a market storm is the stable demand for the products sold by its various businesses. From deodorant to hand wash to toothpaste, the staples it sells are the very items people are always going to keep buying, even as they scale back on other purchases. In the recent quarterly report, management noted that the company controlled a 39.6% share of the global toothpaste market and a 31.3% share of the global manual toothbrush market.
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indeces
Germany 40
Trend
Range 12350-13780
Economic activity in the eurozone plummeted further in October, and Germany, the European Union’s top economy, looks headed for a recession. While the 19-nation eurozone looked likely to contract in the fourth quarter, the picture was worse in Germany, where the PMI dropped to 44.1, from 45.7 in September. That was the lowest reading since the first business shutdowns in Germany when the Covid-19 pandemic hit. The data adds to the growing signs of an impending recession in the eurozone’s largest economy. German businesses were deeply pessimistic about the year-ahead outlook. DAX 30 could weaken as a result in the medium term.
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forex
EUR/CAD
Trend
Range 1.3330-1.4060
The ECB is expected to deliver a 75bps rate hike in its latest monetary policy. The bank’s rhetoric on the pace of hikes beyond the October meeting, notably the level of the terminal rate, will determine the reaction in the euro. Eurozone CPI jumped to 9.9 percent in September, up sharply from the 9.1 percent rise in August. The latest rate hike would bring the cash rate to 2.0% and investors will be looking for the Bank to declare its commitment to bring inflation back to the 2 percent target. Any indication that rates may need to be raised deeper and more aggressively into 2023 than markets expect would drive a sharp rally in the common currency. Meanwhile, News of the Bank of Canada hiking by just 50bps (75bps expected), while signalling that an end to the hike cycle was near,might turn out to be bearish for the Canadian Dollar.
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commodities
Gold
Trend
Range 1593-1726
Gold is likely to remain subdued as the focus is now turning to the size of the Fed’s coming rate hikes, as central banks worldwide seek to clamp down on soaring inflation. Investors are betting that the Fed will hike rates by 75 basis points at its Nov. 1-2 meeting. More super-sized rate hikes could bring fresh turmoil to the gold market, driving investors to seek shelter in the greenback, which will put bullion under more pressure. Additionally, outflows from gold-backed ETFs are accelerating, a bearish signal for bullion. Holdings in the funds shrank by 12.5 tons on 19th October 2022, the biggest one-day decline since March 2021 and extending a plunge that’s endured for almost six months.
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bonds
iShares Core
U.S. Aggregate
Bond ETF
Trend
Range 91.65-97.92
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is one of the 10 largest ETFs on Wall Street and one of the most popular fixed-income options. This fund offers broad exposure to U.S. investment-grade bonds, including Treasury bonds, agency mortgage debt from government-backed entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and corporate bonds from highly rated firms like Bank of America Corp. (BAC). There is built-in diversification and a focus on lower risk. AGG also oers a scale and liquidity that appeals to investors as the fund boasts almost $78.53 billion in assets and regularly trades north of 3 million shares.
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iShares iBoxx $
Investment
Grade
Corporate
Bond ETF
Trend
Range 97.68-104.36
The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade corporate bonds. There are slim chances for the fund’s top issuers such are Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Bank of America (BAC) or Apple (AAPL) to disappear in the next year or two, making this fund much less risky. The average duration of the fund is 9 years and the rate flattening at the longer end of the yield curve could give a boost to the price increase.
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iShares iBoxx $
High Yield
Corporate
Bond ETF
Trend
Range 70.86-75.7
iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, high-yield corporate bonds. The US may face only a mild recession as the country's economy is continuing to remain robust. This is likely to buoy the top and bottom lines of the companies included in the index.
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Vanguard
Short-Term
Corporate
Bond Index
Trend
Range 71.4-76.34
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index is a compelling option for exposure to short-term investment-grade corporate bonds. VCSH offers only short-term bonds with an average duration of 2.8 years across the roughly 2,300 individual bonds in the portfolio. Chances are pretty low that firms like Goldman Sachs Group (GS) or Apple (AAPL) that make up this fund will disappear in the next year or two, so that makes this fund much less risky.
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Data Source: Bloomberg
Date: 1st Nov, 2022

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.