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Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors.
Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved

Portfolio Mix

Click on the dial to see the conservative, moderate & aggressive portfolio strategies.

Asset Allocation
10%
Equities
10%
Indices
10%
Forex
20%
Commodities
50%
Bonds
Note: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation suggested by this tool
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
equites
Mastercard
Trend
Range 364.72 - 411
"Globally, Mastercard is one of the largest and most secure electronic payments networks. Mastercard generates revenue based on the amount of payment volume cross through its network. The company’s cross border revenue segment witnessed a %53 fall in the second quarter of 2020 alone. A halt in international travel, quarantine rules, and concerns about the virus continue to depress leisure and business travel. The consumer’s growing inclination to cards and other electronic payments in place of hard cash got a bump due to pandemic because of the switch to online transactions and other types of digital payments. This structural trend to include more e-commerce, contactless payments, online and debit transactions, and demand for Mastercard’s services, all warrant a higher valuation multiple.
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indesis
SPX Cash
Trend
Range 4001 - 4422
The current Federal policy supports low-interest rates and borrowing costs which acts as an economic catalyst. The Fed's news statement reemphasized that it won't taper until the employment rate increases and inflation runs above %2 for some time. It means that the Federal Reserve will maintain a low interest rate for a while now. Equities have gained on the accommodative statement of the Federal Reserve. Blowout earnings from Apple and Facebook also supported benchmark indices. And the U.S. President has announced another round of stimulus as well. It would be better for investors not to fight the Fed. SPX 500 is likely to stay bullish.
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forex
EURUSD
Trend
Range 1.19 - 1.23
With losses of 1 % in last week’s trade, dollar continued with its 3rd weekly losing streak against euro. Euro breaking above crucial resistance threshold of 1.20 pressurized dollar long positions to a great extent. At the macro level, euro’s gains were supported by release of upbeat Euro zone Flash PMI data for April. Eurozone business activity grew at a stronger rate in April with the rate of increase accelerating to the fastest since last July. This comes as a record expansion of manufacturing output was accompanied by a return to growth in the service sector for the first time since last August. Dollar which gained by 4% against euro in Q1 has lost 3 % alone this month with 5 more trading days to go.
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commodities
Gold
Trend
Range 1685 - 1862
Gold rebounded from eight-day lows of $1762 to end the session at $1782 after the Federal Reserve kept its monetary policy unchanged on Wednesday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s dismissal of tapering bets gave the much-needed boost to the XAU bulls. Heading into a flurry of critical US economic data, including the advance Q1 GDP, the metal was seen consolidating near $1780 this morning as the -10year treasury yield climb back to 1.65% while the US dollar attempts a bounce across the board. Robust corporate earnings on Wallstreet, and anticipation of increased borrowing to fund US President Joe Biden’s proposed stimulus package, exerted upside pressure on the yields. Nonetheless, if Biden administration does manage to raise tax revenues, that would alleviate some pressure off the long-term yields.
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bonds
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index
Trend
Range 81.42 - 84.32
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index is a compelling option for exposure to short-term investment-grade corporate bonds. VCSH offers with only short-term bonds with an average duration of 2.8 years across the roughly 2,300 individual bonds in the portfolio. Chances are pretty low that firms like Goldman Sachs Group (GS) or Apple (AAPL) that make up this fund will disappear in the next year or two, so that makes this fund much less risky. Meanwhile, the roll-out of covid19- vaccines and the much-awaited US stimulus will aid the economic recovery and boosts the profits of these companies.
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iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 84.75 - 90.43
iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, high yield corporate bonds. The prospects of larger stimulus checks coupled with successfull roll-out of covid19- vaccines have bolstered hopes of a strong economic rebound next year which will also help these companies add to their top and bottom lines.
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iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 127.77 - 134.32
As part of its policy kit, the Fed announced that in addition to a Primary Market Corporate Credit Facility, it would also buy Investment Grade bonds in the secondary market. The Fed created a SPV that will purchase in the secondary market corporate debt issued by eligible issuers. What is more interesting is that the SPV will purchase eligible individual corporate bonds as well as eligible corporate bond portfolios in the form of exchange traded funds (ETFs) in the secondary market. In other words, The Fed Is Now Buying Investment Grade Bond ETFs like iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) which should boost their prices.
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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 112.72 - 116.15
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is one of the 10 largest ETFs on Wall Street and one of the most popular fixed-income options. This fund offers broad exposure to U.S. investment-grade bonds, including Treasury bonds, agency mortgage debt from government-backed entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and corporate bonds from highly-rated firms like Bank of America Corp. (BAC). There is built-in diversification and a focus on lower risk. AGG also offers a scale and liquidity that appeals to investors as the fund boasts almost 67$ billion in assets and regularly trades north of 3 million shares each day.
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Data Source: Bloomberg

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks and Assumptions for Back-tested trading strategies
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The risks and assumptions listed here are not intended to be an exhaustive summary of all the risks and assumptions involved.
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.
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