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Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors.
Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
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Portfolio Mix

Click on the dial to see the conservative, moderate & aggressive portfolio strategies.

Asset Allocation
10%
Equities
10%
Indices
10%
Forex
20%
Commodities
50%
Bonds
Note: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation suggested by this tool
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
equites
iShare U.S. Healthcare ETF
Trend
Range 261.1 - 292.56
It is empirically noted that investors tend to embrace baskets that are less likely to be disrupted if the Fed is forced to play catch-up by tightening faster than expected, and healthcare would be one of them. Healthcare stocks tends tend to benefit since the industry is less exposed to shifting demand tied to economic expansion or contraction. In addition, investors may have abandoned safety bid into tech and opting for sectors that oer a steady yield like healthcare.
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indeces
SPX Cash
Trend
Range 4223 - 4530
The macro news flow is getting bearish. In Asia, the Hang Seng index gave up gains after reports emerged that Evergrande's USD bondholders are yet to receive interest due on Thursday. Meanwhile, Global bonds sold off as central banks are getting more hawkish. Additionally, China's growth worries are also rising. In 2017, SPX company's corporate margins had risen after the tax overhaul. However, there is a substantial likelihood of the US corporate tax rate rising, pulling down valuation multiples. Global Central Banks are also turning hawkish would be especially tough for Growth and EM stocks. CFTC data suggests that Hedge funds are growing increasingly bearish with leveraged fund positions in MSCI EM index futures, turning net short for the first time in more than a year. Stocks will be pressured with fiscal and monetary policy turning from tailwind to headwinds.
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forex
EUR/USD
Trend
Range 1.147 - 1.177
The EUR/USD pair is trading not far away from its 2021 low at 1.1663. Power cuts in China have been blamed on rising coal prices leading to short supply. The situation may well extend for a few months threatening economic growth. In the UK, gas stations have been clogged with cars since late last week, amid fears supplies are running low, exacerbating supply chain issues. Dollar clinched fresh tops around 93.80, against the backdrop of the hawkish message from Chief Powell, prospects for an interest rate hike by end of 2022 and the sharp move higher in US yields. Positive results from US fundamentals coupled with alleviating concerns regarding the progress of the Delta variant should also add to the constructive view of the dollar in the near/medium term.
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commodities
Gold
Trend
Range 1662 - 1800
Gold price fell to seven-week lows at $1728 on Tuesday but rebounded to $1740 this morning. Worsening market mood seems to have somewhat revived the demand for the US government bonds, offering brief relief to gold buyers. However, further upside appears elusive, as traders will remain cautious ahead of a slew of speeches by the global central banks’ Governors, including Fed Chair Powell, ECB President Lagarde and BOE Chief Bailey, at the ECB’s online forum. Besides, yesterday’s dovish commentary from Powell regarding inflation was offset by remarks from St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard who said high inflation may require more aggressive steps by the central bank, including two interest rate hikes in 2022. With the Federal Reserve’s plan to complete the tapering process by mid-2022 followed by rate hikes, the treasury yields, and Dollar should remain firm which will continue to cloud the outlook for gold. Immediate resistance is seen near $1750-70 region and support is seen near $1720-30 region, a break below which will target $1700 psychological region.
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bonds
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 114.12 - 115.84
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is one of the 10 largest ETFs on Wall Street and one of the most popular fixed-income options. This fund offers broad exposure to U.S. investment-grade bonds, including Treasury bonds, agency mortgage debt from government-backed entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and corporate bonds from highly-rated firms like Bank of America Corp. (BAC). There is built-in diversification and a focus on lower risk. AGG also offers a scale and liquidity that appeals to investors as the fund boasts almost $67 billion in assets and regularly trades north of 3 million shares each day
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iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 131.2 - 135.01
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment grade corporate bonds. There are slim chances for the funds top issuers such are Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Bank of America (BAC) or Apple (AAPL) to disappear in the next year or two, making this fund much less risky. The average duration of the fund being 9 years and the rate flattening at the longer end of the yield curve could give a boost to the price increase.
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iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 86.18 - 88.81
iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, high yield corporate bonds. The prospects of larger stimulus checks coupled with successfull roll-out of COVID-19 vaccines have bolstered hopes of a strong economic rebound next year which will also help these companies add to their top and bottom lines.
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Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index
Trend
Range 81.21 - 83.68
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index is a compelling option for exposure to short-term investment-grade corporate bonds. VCSH offers with only short-term bonds with an average duration of 2.8 years across the roughly 2,300 individual bonds in the portfolio. Chances are pretty low that firms like Goldman Sachs Group (GS) or Apple (AAPL) that make up this fund will disappear in the next year or two, so that makes this fund much less risky. Meanwhile, the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccines and the much-awaited US stimulus will aid the economic recovery and boosts the profits of these companies.
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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.
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