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Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors.
Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
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Portfolio Mix

Click on the dial to see the conservative, moderate & aggressive portfolio strategies.

Asset Allocation
10%
Equities
10%
Indices
10%
Forex
20%
Commodities
50%
Bonds
Note: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation suggested by this tool
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
equites
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund
Trend
Range 48.9 - 54.29
The ETFs on the U.S. real estate sector have been surging lately on still-low rates. Lower rates have made buying real estate and refinancing mortgages more affordable. This, in turn, is boosting activity in the real estate market. Plus, rising inflation is great for real estate investing. Growth in the economy translates into greater demand for real estate, higher occupancy levels and landlords’ greater power to ask for higher rents. An uptick in home prices is also driving the real estate sector higher as more consumers are moving toward rental. Further, the new strain of COVID-19 cases has raised the appeal for these assets. This is because these often act as a safe haven in times of market turbulence and concurrently offer higher returns due to their outsized yields
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indeces
S&P 500
Trend
Range 4686.9 - 4936.5
The first trading day of 2022 appears to be a repeat of 2021 as stocks are upbeat due to receding fears. Global risk sentiment is upbeat as PMIs from Korea and Taiwan came out better. Due to the dependency of their economies on exports, Korea and Taiwan are considered global bellwethers. Singapore's GDP also beat the expectations. Meanwhile, Omicron virus fears have not impacted the markets since it is expected to be short-lived. There’s a fair amount of hope that this highly contagious version of the disease will be short-lived, and that it will mark the beginning of the end of the virus as a significant driver of the world economy and risk sentiment. Corroborating this, weekly deaths in the Christmas-New Year week continued to decline worldwide even as infections spiked. Technically, after a stellar rally, SPX 500 is consolidating in the chart. The trend is bullish, and only a close below the previous highs, 4725-4730, will trigger bearishness.
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forex
EUR/USD
Trend
Range 1.118 - 1.148
EUR/USD prints a dull start to 2022, down 0.25% intraday around 1.1345. While the surge in Omicron cases continued to disrupt global travel and public services, hopes were high that the economic damage of stringent lockdowns can be avoided prompting traders to shift away from the safe haven dollar. Weekly deaths in the Christmas-New Year week continued to decline worldwide even as infections spiked. Given this fact, EUR/USD could recover as US Dollar had attracted safe haven flows in the due to a virus surge. The flows could reverse, and EUR/USD has formed a hammer on the monthly chart, which is bullish. Traders would be looking at the first week of January's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes and US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for any directional move. On the charts, upside momentum could resume once the pair closes above the 1.141 resistance zone on the weekly chart while on the downside the currency pair has support around the 1.127 and 1.125 levels.
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commodities
Gold
Trend
Range 1712.8 - 1929.2
Gold concluded 2021 on a bullish note, reaching $1,830 its highest level in six weeks. Year-end profit-taking in US Treasury yields from monthly peaks aided gold's two-day recovery, while the dollar also bore the brunt of repositioning. However, the metal failed to maintain its upbeat tone in the new year, and it is off to a bad start on the first trading day of 2022. The drop in the metal came after Korean and Taiwanese PMIs came out better than expected, and as investors booked profits ahead of a busy week in the United States with a slew of high-profile economic events. The US ISM PMIs, FOMC minutes, and Nonfarm Payrolls are all expected to boost Fed hawks and weigh on the metal. Meanwhile, concerns about rising omicron cases around the world, as well as the resurgence of China's Evergrande problems, appear to be boosting the safe-haven dollar's recovery at the price of gold. Following a holiday season lull, the Eurozone and US Markit Manufacturing PMIs will give some trading incentives to gold dealers. $1830-35 zone is critical for gold and only a break above these levels, will enable the bulls to target $1870 region. Meanwhile, immediate support is seen near $1815-20 region, followed by confluence of MAs near $1790-1800.
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bonds
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 113.49 - 115.26
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is one of the 10 largest ETFs on Wall Street and one of the most popular fixed-income options. This fund offers broad exposure to U.S. investment-grade bonds, including Treasury bonds, agency mortgage debt from government-backed entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and corporate bonds from highly-rated firms like Bank of America Corp. (BAC). There is built-in diversification and a focus on lower risk. AGG also offers a scale and liquidity that appeals to investors as the fund boasts almost $67 billion in assets and regularly trades north of 3 million shares each day.
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iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 130.67 - 136.81
The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment grade corporate bonds. There are slim chances for the funds top issuers such are Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Bank of America (BAC) or Apple (AAPL) to disappear in the next year or two, making this fund much less risky. The average duration of the fund being 9 years and the rate flattening at the longer end of the yield curve could give a boost to the price increase.
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iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 85.06 - 89.06
iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, high yield corporate bonds. The prospects of larger stimulus checks coupled with successfull roll-out of COVID-19 vaccines have bolstered hopes of a strong economic rebound in 2022 which will also help these companies add to their top and bottom lines.
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Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index
Trend
Range 80.12 - 83.88
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index is a compelling option for exposure to short-term investment-grade corporate bonds. VCSH offers with only short-term bonds with an average duration of 2.8 years across the roughly 2,300 individual bonds in the portfolio. Chances are pretty low that firms like Goldman Sachs Group (GS) or Apple (AAPL) that make up this fund will disappear in the next year or two, so that makes this fund much less risky. Meanwhile, the roll-out of COVID-19 vaccines and the US stimulus will aid the economic recovery and boosts the profits of these companies.
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Data Source: Bloomberg

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.
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