X
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Asset Allocation
10%
Equities10%
Indices10%
Forex20%
Commodities50%
BondsNote: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation provided by this tool. The Portfolio Mix is neither investment advice nor a suggestion on asset allocation to be adopted by the investors.
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
Duke Energy Corporation
Trend
Range $122 – $138
With the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, defensive sectors remain in focus, supporting utilities like Duke. Duke Energy’s near-term outlook looks strong. The company is executing well and demand visibility is improving. It reported FY2025 EPS of $6.31, above guidance, and expects $6.55–$6.80 in 2026. This shows steady earnings growth. Management remains confident and is targeting 5–7% EPS growth through 2030. Growth could improve further as demand increases. Duke has already secured about 4.5GW of data center demand, with a pipeline above 9GW. This gives strong visibility for future earnings. The company is also investing $103 billion, supporting a 9–10% rate base growth and has a dividend yield of 3%. Technically, the stock broke to all-time highs in early March. It then pulled back and held support near $130 (prior breakout zone). If this holds, the stock can move toward $134 (recent highs) and then $142 (weekly pivot).
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Switzerland 20 Index
Trend
Range CHF 11,800 -
CHF 13,400
CHF 13,400
Since the US-Iran conflict began, this index has fallen about 9.75%, reflecting the global uncertainty in the markets. Recently, the index broke below an ascending trendline formed by joining the lows of 9 April, 26 Sept, and 4 Nov 2025. Technically, the Switzerland20 index is near its 200-day moving average at around 12,615. Any breaks below this level could lead to further declines. According to UBS and CFA Society Switzerland, the Swiss investor sentiment index fell to -35 in March 2026, 44.8% down from 9.8 the month before. This is the lowest level since September 2025 and shows that investors are becoming more cautious, especially with higher interest rates expected in the Eurozone and the United States over the next six months. Moreover, inflation expectations have increased across the region because of rising tensions in the Middle East and higher oil prices.
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USDCHF
Trend
Range 0.7664 - 0.8266
The US dollar has risen by more than 2% this month, driven by current geopolitical dynamics that have boosted its safe-haven appeal. Secondly, an increasing petrodollar dominance aligns with rising crude oil prices. The Swiss National Bank holds its policy rate at 0%. Switzerland’s inflation is near 0%, and imported goods prices have fallen 2.7% YoY. A weak inflation outlook removes any incentive for the SNB to support CHF. In fact, it actively intervenes in FX markets to prevent franc appreciation. On the other side, the Fed holds rates significantly above zero. Also, the Fed’s current hawkish lean leads to a rate differential that also favours the dollar. Additionally, as a net energy exporter, the US benefits from elevated commodity prices. This tailwind usually strengthens the dollar and reduces CHF’s relative safe-haven appeal. Technically, the pair has near-term support from the 100-day EMA at 0.7881. It is also trading within an ascending channel.
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Gold
Trend
Range $4,120 - $5,000
Trump’s move to extend the Iran deadline to April 6 has offered some short-term relief to gold. The earlier price pullback was largely driven by concerns that higher energy costs could push inflation back up, making it less likely that central banks would ease policy. For now, the possibility of diplomatic talks — even if still uncertain — is helping gold a bit. That said, this kind of decline isn’t unusual during a crisis. In the early phase of market stress or geopolitical tensions, investors often sell gold simply to raise cash and cover losses elsewhere. But history shows that once things begin to stabilise, gold tends to bounce back as its role as a hedge comes back into focus. Interestingly, gold has recently been moving in line with equities in the short term, which isn’t typically expected. That said, history suggests this is temporary — once equity markets come under sustained pressure, gold usually reverts to its role as a defensive hedge. With prices still more than 15% below pre-conflict levels, the recent pullback could attract buying interest, especially if tensions ease.
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iShares Core U.S.
Aggregate Bond
ETF (AGG)
Aggregate Bond
ETF (AGG)
Trend
Range $97.93 - $100.07
The iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is a prominent fund that closely tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, offering a comprehensive snapshot of the U.S. investment-grade bond market. With a diversified portfolio of over 8,000 bonds, including government, corporate, mortgage-backed, and asset-backed securities, AGG provides extensive coverage of the U.S. bond market. The ETF is designed for cost efficiency, boasting a low expense ratio of 0.03% — significantly below industry standards — and managing assets exceeding $138.41 billion. AGG has delivered one-year returns of 6.34%, with a 12-month dividend yield of 3.94%. This makes it an attractive option for investors seeking broad exposure to U.S. bonds at minimal cost, with the potential for income and capital appreciation. The ETF has an effective duration of 5.85, making it less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.
Readmoreless iShares iBoxx $
Investment Grade
Corporate Bond
ETF (LQD)
Investment Grade
Corporate Bond
ETF (LQD)
Trend
Range $106.73 - $109.89
The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) seeks to track the performance of an index comprising U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate bonds. It provides investors with exposure to the high-quality segment of the corporate bond market, offering broad diversification across various sectors, maturities, and credit ratings. With a low expense ratio of 0.14% and strong liquidity, LQD is an attractive option for those seeking income and stability in the fixed-income space. The fund has delivered a 1-year return of 4.43%. The ETF has a 12-month dividend yield of 4.55%. It carries moderate interest rate risk and low credit risk, with the majority of its holdings rated A or higher by major credit rating agencies. LQD is an excellent choice for investors seeking a reliable and well-diversified investment in the investment-grade corporate bond market.
Readmoreless iShares iBoxx
$ High Yield
Corporate
Bond ETF (HYG)
$ High Yield
Corporate
Bond ETF (HYG)
Trend
Range $78.01 - $79.61
The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) is designed to mirror a broad index of U.S. dollar-denominated high-yield corporate bonds. Its primary goal is to offer investors access to the high-yield bond market's potentially high returns and diversification benefits. HYG holds over 1,000 bonds across various sectors and credit ratings, with substantial allocations in the 3-5-year and 5-7-year maturity ranges. The fund has posted a 1-year return of 6.01%. It also features an attractive 12-month dividend yield of 5.92% and a low expense ratio of 0.49%, making it particularly appealing to income-focused investors. While HYG carries a moderate risk profile — characterised by higher credit risk and the volatility typical of high-yield bonds — it offers the potential for enhanced returns. Additionally, its lower correlation with other fixed-income and equity markets can improve the overall risk-return balance, making HYG a compelling option for those seeking a well-rounded and diversified portfolio.
ReadmorelessVanguard Short-
Term Corporate
Bond Index
(VCSH)
Term Corporate
Bond Index
(VCSH)
Trend
Range $78.62 - $79.46
The Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index (VCSH) is a mutual fund that focuses on high-quality corporate bonds with maturities of 1 to 5 years. Its primary goal is to provide investors with a stable and moderate level of current income while minimising exposure to interest rate risk. The fund closely tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. 1-5 Year Corporate Bond Index, which reflects the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, fixed-rate bonds issued by companies in the industrial, utility, and financial sectors. With a remarkably low expense ratio of 0.49%, far below the industry average, VCSH has consistently outperformed its benchmark. The fund has delivered one-year returns of 4.62% and a 12-month dividend yield of 4.42%. It is well-diversified across various sectors, including financials, consumer non-cyclical, communications, and technology. VCSH is an excellent choice for investors seeking income generation while prioritising risk management and liquidity in their portfolios.
Readmoreless Data Source: Bloomberg
Date: 1st April, 2026
Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst
Deepa Sachanandani
Deputy Head - Research
The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions

The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.

Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.

Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.

The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.

Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.

Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.

The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.

The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.

Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.

The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.


