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Century Financial Consultancy

Portfolio Mix

Click on the dial to see the conservative, moderate & aggressive portfolio strategies.

Asset Allocation
10%
Equities
10%
Indices
10%
Forex
20%
Commodities
50%
Bonds
Note: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation provided by this tool. The Portfolio Mix is neither investment advice nor a suggestion on asset allocation to be adopted by the investors.
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
forex
Microsoft
Trend
Range $418 - $481
Microsoft shares caught market attention after a recent jump following the release of its latest quarterly earnings report. The company reported total revenue of $90.01 billion, up 18% YoY and above the $87.62 billion consensus estimate. Microsoft Cloud revenue rose 27% to $59.3 billion, while Azure and other cloud services revenue increased 43%, up from 40% growth in the prior quarter. Azure’s annual revenue surpassed $100 billion for the first time in fiscal year 2026, up 41% YoY. The company reported a 70% increase in Capex to $41 billion, a key metric of data centre spending, but this came in slightly short of analyst expectations of $42 billion. Microsoft CFO Amy Hood said that she expected the firm to remain free cash flow positive in fiscal year 2027. This directly eased investor concerns about the company’s massive outlays on data centres and chips, something the whole industry is being scrutinised for.
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forex
Switzerland 20 Index
Trend
Range CHF 13,620 -
CHF 15,220
The Switzerland 20 Index created a fresh all-time high at CHF14,672 on 29th July, and is up over 8.5% YTD, with the index holding firmly above all key moving averages. The index is defensively positioned relative to major global indices, with healthcare and consumer staples collectively accounting for the largest share of its weight. Novartis, Roche, and Nestlé, which are the three heavyweights, together drive the bulk of the index, and all three have been in demand as global equity investors move towards stable, cash-generative, globally diversified businesses amid a tech-led sell-off. The index's low sensitivity to oil prices and minimal exposure to the tech sector further insulate it from volatility arising from Middle East escalation and AI capex concerns. With the index at record levels and momentum firmly to the upside, the structural case for continued outperformance remains intact.
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forex
CHF/JPY
Trend
Range 192.35 - 200.50
From a technical standpoint, CHFJPY has broken the support at 198.50 on the weekly timeframe, supporting a bearish stance in the week ahead. From a fundamental standpoint, the bearish case for CHF is buoyed by this week’s reports that the SNB is unlikely to raise rates before end-2027, with the first hike now pencilled for no earlier than 2H27. With Swiss 2y yields at just 0.1% versus far higher eurozone comparables, the franc is badly out-carried at a time when yield differentials are again driving FX. Looking at the Yen, the market seems to be preparing for tomorrow’s BoJ policy decision. Investors have warned that the BoJ risks losing credibility if it does not accelerate its rate hikes to contain inflationary pressures; hence, they are widely anticipating any sign that it will accelerate rate rises thereafter, following last month’s quarter-point increase to 1%.
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forex
Gold
Trend
Range $3,867 - $4,274
Gold continues to face a challenging outlook as several macroeconomic and technical factors point to further downside. Sticky inflationary pressures, amplified by elevated energy prices have strengthened expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer or potentially start tightening. Higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as gold and reduce its appeal relative to interest bearing investments. At the same time, investment demand remains weak, with gold ETF holdings continuing to decline and central banks expected to slow their pace of gold purchases compared to previous years. From a technical perspective, gold remains in a clear downtrend, with prices trading below a long-term descending trendline, reflecting a bearish momentum. Further continued escalating tensions in the Middle East keep putting added pressure on prices. Unless gold can achieve a decisive breakout above key resistance, the ongoing trend favors additional downside, with a break below support levels likely to trigger further selling pressure.
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bonds
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG)
Trend
Range $97.47 - $97.77
The iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is a prominent fund that closely tracks the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, offering a comprehensive snapshot of the U.S. investment-grade bond market. With a diversified portfolio of over 8,000 bonds, including government, corporate, mortgage-backed, and asset-backed securities, AGG provides extensive coverage of the U.S. bond market. The ETF is designed for cost effciency, boasting a low expense ratio of 0.03% — significantly below industry standards — and managing assets exceeding $135.21 billion. AGG has delivered one-year returns of 3.03%, with a 12-month dividend yield of 4.04%. This makes it an attractive option for investors seeking broad exposure to U.S. bonds at minimal cost, with the potential for income and capital appreciation. The ETF has an effective duration of 5.85, making it less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.
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iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD)
Trend
Range $106.19 - $106.63
The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) seeks to track the performance of an index comprising U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate bonds. It provides investors with exposure to the high-quality segment of the corporate bond market, offering broad diversification across various sectors, maturities, and credit ratings. With a low expense ratio of 0.14% and strong liquidity, LQD is an attractive option for those seeking income and stability in the fixed-income space. The fund has delivered a 1-year return of 2.04%. The ETF has a 12-month dividend yield of 4.5%. It carries moderate interest rate risk and low credit risk, with the majority of its holdings rated A or higher by major credit rating agencies. LQD may be considered by investors seeking diversified exposure to the investment-grade corporate bond market, subject to their investment objectives and risk tolerance.
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iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG)
Trend
Range $79.37 - $79.57
The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) is designed to mirror a broad index of U.S. dollar-denominated high-yield corporate bonds. Its primary goal is to offer investors access to the high-yield bond market's potentially high returns and diversification benefits. HYG holds over 1,000 bonds across various sectors and credit ratings, with substantial allocations in the 3-5-year and 5-7-year maturity ranges. The fund has posted a 1-year return of 4.90%. It also features an attractive 12-month dividend yield of 5.92% and a low expense ratio of 0.49%, making it particularly appealing to income-focused investors. While HYG carries a moderate risk profile — characterised by higher credit risk and the volatility typical of high-yield bonds — it offers the potential for enhanced returns. Additionally, its lower correlation with other fixed-income and equity markets can improve the overall risk-return balance, making HYG a compelling option for those seeking a well-rounded and diversified portfolio.
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Vanguard Short- Term Corporate Bond Index (VCSH)
Trend
Range $78.60 - $78.74
The Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index (VCSH) focuses on high-quality corporate bonds with maturities of 1 to 5 years. Its primary goal is to provide investors with a stable and moderate level of current income while minimising exposure to interest rate risk. The fund closely tracks the Bloomberg U.S. 1-5 Year Corporate Bond Index, which reflects the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, fixed-rate bonds issued by companies in the industrial, utility, and financial sectors. With a remarkably low expense ratio of 0.03%, far below the industry average, VCSH has consistently outperformed its benchmark. The fund has delivered one-year returns of 3.66% and a 12-month dividend yield of 4.46%. It is well-diversified across various sectors, including financials, consumer non-cyclical, communications, and technology. VCSH is an excellent choice for investors seeking income generation while prioritising risk management and liquidity in their portfolios.
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Data Source: Bloomberg
Date: 30th July, 2025

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

Deepa Sachanandani
Deputy Head - Research

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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.