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Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors.
Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved

Portfolio Mix

Click on the dial to see the conservative, moderate & aggressive portfolio strategies.

Asset Allocation
10%
Equities
10%
Indices
10%
Forex
20%
Commodities
50%
Bonds
Note: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation suggested by this tool
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
equites
Mastercard
Trend
Range 340.9 - 384.46
Globally, Mastercard is one of the largest and most secure electronic payments networks. Mastercard generates revenue based on the amount of payment volume cross through its network. The company’s cross border revenue segment witnessed a 53% fall in the second quarter of 2020 alone. A halt in international travel, quarantine rules, and concerns about the virus continue to depress leisure and business travel. The consumer’s growing inclination to cards and other electronic payments in place of hard cash got a bump due to pandemic because of the switch to online transactions and other types of digital payments. This structural trend to include more e-commerce, contactless payments, online and debit transactions, and demand for Mastercard’s services, all warrant a higher valuation multiple.
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indesis
SPX Cash
Trend
Range 3768 - 4165
Equities are likely to be subdued on news that the U.S. securities regulator might introduce measures that could hit US-listed Chinese companies. The new move calls for removing overseas companies from U.S. stock exchanges if they do not comply with U.S. auditing standards and require them to disclose any government affiliations. Chinese technology shares have sold off on the news. Moreover, worries about a semiconductor shortage rattled investors as they begin to impact production in sectors like Automobiles. On the economic front, New Zealand’s central bank announced that it would reduce bond purchases next week, helping lift long-end yields. Previously Bank of Canada had guided how it plans to slow purchases of government bonds, probably as soon as April. These are not good signs as they could be the precursor to monetary tightening across the world.
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forex
EURUSD
Trend
Range 1.155 - 1.190
Dollar gained 0.70 % last week with new lockdown measures pressurizing euro. Germany & other major European countries have reinstated lockdown measures ahead of the Easter holidays. This comes in wake of further rise in new COVID – 19 cases. While the vaccination programs are under way, market fears are agog with another round of demand downfall. ECB has already reiterated its dovish stance to do whatever it takes now that the European recovery is expected to lag behind US. For the week ahead, markets are eyeing upbeat US NFP numbers. Total job gains are expected at 633K for the month of March against previous month’s estimate of 379K. Technically, euro support at 1.17 would be crucial to watch out for. The support levels also coincide near its 50 D SMA level zone.
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commodities
Gold
Trend
Range 1613 - 1782
Gold extended its biggest fall in more than three weeks to trade modestly below $1700 mark weighed down by rising Treasury yields and strengthening Dollar. Prospect of more stimulus measures and quickening vaccine rollout in the US raised hopes for faster economic recovery and pushed the benchmark -10year treasury yields above %1.75. Meanwhile, the safe-haven Dollar climbed to a nearly five-month high of 93.15 as investors remained cautious for any more fall-out from the implosion of hedge fund Archegos Capital Management. The road ahead for gold seems bumpy as the US rates might continue their uptrend, thanks to the expectations of the Biden administration’s infrastructure spending plans. This was reflected in the steady outflows from Gold ETFs where holdings fell to 100.01 million ounces, its lowest level since May last year.
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bonds
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index
Trend
Range 81.19 - 84.07
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index is a compelling option for exposure to short-term investment-grade corporate bonds. VCSH offers with only short-term bonds with an average duration of 2.8 years across the roughly 2,300 individual bonds in the portfolio. Chances are pretty low that firms like Goldman Sachs Group (GS) or Apple (AAPL) that make up this fund will disappear in the next year or two, so that makes this fund much less risky. Meanwhile, the roll-out of covid19- vaccines and the much-awaited US stimulus will aid the economic recovery and boosts the profits of these companies.
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iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 83.91 - 90.01
iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, high yield corporate bonds. The prospects of larger stimulus checks coupled with successfull roll-out of covid19- vaccines have bolstered hopes of a strong economic rebound next year which will also help these companies add to their top and bottom lines.
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iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 125.88 - 132.56
As part of its policy kit, the Fed announced that in addition to a Primary Market Corporate Credit Facility, it would also buy Investment Grade bonds in the secondary market. The Fed created a SPV that will purchase in the secondary market corporate debt issued by eligible issuers. What is more interesting is that the SPV will purchase eligible individual corporate bonds as well as eligible corporate bond portfolios in the form of exchange traded funds (ETFs) in the secondary market. In other words, The Fed Is Now Buying Investment Grade Bond ETFs like iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) which should boost their prices.
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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 112.02 - 115.43
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is one of the 10 largest ETFs on Wall Street and one of the most popular fixed-income options. This fund offers broad exposure to U.S. investment-grade bonds, including Treasury bonds, agency mortgage debt from government-backed entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and corporate bonds from highly-rated firms like Bank of America Corp. (BAC). There is built-in diversification and a focus on lower risk. AGG also offers a scale and liquidity that appeals to investors as the fund boasts almost $67 billion in assets and regularly trades north of 3 million shares each day.
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Data Source: Bloomberg

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.
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