X
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Asset Allocation
10%
Equities10%
Indices10%
Forex10%
Commodities50%
BondsNote: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocation provided by this tool. The Portfolio Mix is neither investment advice nor a suggestion on asset allocation to be adopted by the investors.
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
International Business Machines
Trend
Range $285 - $350
IBM is gaining new traction on its quantum-computing roadmap, with a soon-to-be-published paper validating a breakthrough in quantum error correction using an AMD FPGA chip. This confirms that IBM's algorithm can run on commercially available hardware without incurring GPU cluster costs, a significant step toward its ultimate goal of building the world's first large-scale fault-tolerant quantum computer by 2029. The advancement propelled IBM shares nearly 8% as investors priced in long-term strategic upside. Technically, IBM has broken out above its former all-time high at $295 and has since tested the $320 area, below which the stock is currently consolidating. The $300 zone will act as a strong daily pivot support, holding above which opens to upside targets toward $320 (recent ATH). Above $320, $350 will act as strong psychological resistance, and this level also aligns with the daily pivot resistance.
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Sweden 30 – Cash
Trend
Range SEK 2,608 - SEK 2,958
A primary estimate shows that Sweden’s GDP indicator increased 1.1% QoQ in Q3 2025, above expectations of 0.7%. Since inflation has declined, the Riksbank is likely to hold interest rates steady at 1.75% throughout 2026. The central bank’s cumulative monetary easing totaled 225 basis points. This, combined with the government’s expansionary budget for the upcoming election year, is expected to support household income and help revive domestic demand. The proposal includes tax cuts and a spending boost totaling 80 billion kronor, which could widen Sweden’s budget gap to 2.4% of GDP in 2026. Thus, economic growth is expected to gain traction and expand at 2.4% over 2026 and 2027. The finance ministry expects 0.9% growth this year, rising to 3.1% in 2026, likely due to a near-term reduction in VAT on food, which is scheduled to take effect in April 2026. On the technical charts, Sweden has broken out above resistance on the monthly timeframe.
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AUD/USD
Trend
Range 0.634 - 0.690
AUDUSD broke the trendline connecting the highs of 0.670 on 17th September, 0.662 on 7th October, and 0.661 on 9th October, strengthening the bullish stance. Looking at the US dollar, at the October FOMC, Powell stated that a December rate cut is not certain, as Fed officials expect an inflation uptick owing to tariffs. Though this might support a bullish stance on the dollar, it should be noted that the US job market is also weakening. And in his speech, Powell downplayed the price pressures and said the Fed has a role to play in responding to the slowdown in hiring. In line with this, according to CME’s Fedwatch tool, the probability of a 25-bps cut in December has increased to 70% from 9% a week ago and 22% a month ago. This supports a bearish stance on the dollar. Looking at the Australian dollar, the CPI is on an upward trend, clocking in at 3.2% versus the 3% expected.
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Gold
Trend
Range $3,590 - $4,350
October saw some of the most dramatic fluctuations in gold prices in more than 10 years. Prices leaped to an all-time high of $4,381, buoyed by trade tensions and Fed rate cut expectations. By October 28, gold had dropped about 10% from its peak, to $3,963, following a hawkish speech from Fed Chair Powell that dampened expectations for a December rate cut. However, the metal closed the month at about $3,980, up 51% YTD, but well off its highs. Looking ahead to November, central bank de-dollarization remains a key support, with emerging markets now allocating 20% of reserves to gold, providing institutional buying on dips. Investment demand continues to lead, with ETFs, bars, and coins outpacing traditional consumption. Meanwhile, central bank purchases accelerated in Q3, with full-year forecasts ranging from 750 to 900 tonnes. ETF inflows reached $64 billion year-to-date through September, tracking toward a projected record $108 billion for full-year 2025, reflecting firm institutional conviction that will continue to support gold.
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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Trend
Range $98.90 - $102.00
The iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) is a prominent fund that closely tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, offering a comprehensive snapshot of the U.S. investment-grade bond market. With a diversified portfolio of over 8,000 bonds, including government, corporate, mortgage-backed, and asset-backed securities, AGG provides extensive coverage of the U.S. bond market. The ETF is designed for cost efficiency, boasting a low expense ratio of 0.03% — significantly below industry standards — and managing assets exceeding $135.35 billion. AGG has delivered one-year returns of 6.25%, with a 12-month dividend yield of 3.81%. This makes it an attractive option for investors seeking broad exposure to U.S. bonds at minimal cost, with the potential for income and capital appreciation. The ETF has an effective duration of 5.85, making it less sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.
Readmoreless iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range $110.20 - $114.60
The iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) seeks to track the performance of an index comprising U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate bonds. It provides investors with exposure to the high-quality segment of the corporate bond market, offering broad diversification across various sectors, maturities, and credit ratings. With a low expense ratio of 0.14% and strong liquidity, LQD is an attractive option for those seeking income and stability in the fixed-income space. The fund has delivered a 1-year return of 6.91%. The ETF has a 12-month dividend yield of 4.33%. It carries moderate interest rate risk and low credit risk, with the majority of its holdings rated A or higher by major credit rating agencies. LQD is an excellent choice for investors seeking a reliable and well-diversified investment in the investment-grade corporate bond market.
ReadmorelessiShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range $79.80 - $81.33
The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) is designed to mirror a broad index of U.S. dollar-denominated high-yield corporate bonds. Its primary goal is to offer investors access to the high-yield bond market's potentially high returns and diversification benefits. HYG holds over 1,000 bonds across various sectors and credit ratings, with substantial allocations in the 3-5-year and 5-7-year maturity ranges. The fund has posted a 1-year return of 7.88%. It also features an attractive 12-month dividend yield of 5.70% and a low expense ratio of 0.49%, making it particularly appealing to income-focused investors. While HYG carries a moderate risk profile — characterized by higher credit risk and the volatility typical of high-yield bonds — it offers the potential for enhanced returns. Additionally, its lower correlation with other fixed-income and equity markets can improve the overall risk-return balance, making HYG a compelling option for those seeking a well-rounded and diversified portfolio.
Readmoreless Vanguard Short - Term Corporate Bond Index
Trend
Range $79.68 - $80.50
The Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index (VCSH) is a mutual fund that focuses on high-quality corporate bonds with maturities of 1 to 5 years. Its primary goal is to provide investors with a stable and moderate level of current income while minimizing exposure to interest rate risk. The fund closely tracks the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. 1-5 Year Corporate Bond Index, which reflects the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated, investment-grade, fixed-rate bonds issued by companies in the industrial, utility, and financial sectors. With a remarkably low expense ratio of 0.49%, far below the industry average, VCSH has consistently outperformed its benchmark. The fund has delivered one-year returns of 7.88% and a 12-month dividend yield of 5.70%. It is well-diversified across various sectors, including financials, consumer non-cyclical, communications, and technology. VCSH is an excellent choice for investors seeking income generation while prioritizing risk management and liquidity in their portfolios.
Readmoreless Data Source: Bloomberg
Date: 1st November, 2024
Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst
Deepa Sachanandani
Deputy Head - Research
The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions

The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.

Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.

Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.

The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.

Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.

Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.

The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.

The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.

Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.

The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.


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