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Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors.
Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved

Portfolio Mix

Click on the dial to see the conservative, moderate & aggressive portfolio strategies.

Asset Allocation
10%
Equities
10%
Indices
10%
Forex
20%
Commodities
50%
Bonds
Note: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocations suggested by this tool.
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
equites
Starbucks Corporation
Trend
Range 99 - 107
Starbucks endures the tough times but thrives in good times. And it has a rosy outlook for the coming decade. In the company's recent biennial investor-day presentation, management discussed how it plans to capture a still-growing coffee market through comp-sales growth and new store growth. In fact, it plans to grow from over 32,000 worldwide locations to 55,000 by 2030, making it the largest restaurant company on the planet. This should lead to annual double-digit earnings growth and support a growing dividend, giving investors plenty of upsidein the upcoming years.
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indeces
SPX 500 Cash
Trend
Range 3520 - 4000
SPX 500 gained on economic optimism as the house of Representatives passed a $2,000 direct payment, after approval of a $2.3 trillion pandemic aid and spending package. Stocks will find support on ramped up COVID 19 vaccinations as most US citizens are expected to be vaccinated by 1st half of 2021. Further optimism will be garnered as President-elect Biden is expected to invoke the Defense Production Act to boost vaccine production as he takes oath next month. Carry-over support is anticipated from European stocks as the Brexit trade agreement matures. Moreover, SPX 500 portrays a positive outlook, on basis of worldwide mass inoculation of vaccines, the Feds expansionary monetary policy with a target interest rate near zero, and relatively low bond yields in the U.S, UK, Japan, and Eurozone. Investors should keep an eye on the 5th January Georgia election run-off, with plenty on the line in determining how US politics will shape up under Biden's administration.
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forex
EUR/USD
Trend
Range 1.19 - 1.25
The dollar edged lower as risk markets cheered a potentially larger stimulus check after House of Representatives voted to increase the household payments to $2,000 from $600. This was followed by the outgoing President Trump's move to sign a $2.3 trillion pandemic aid and spending package. Unprecedented fiscal stimulus from the U.S. government along with an expansionary monetary policy from the Federal reserve's in anticipation of higher inflation implies negative real yields weighing down on the US dollar for the long run. Moreover, difference between the German 10-year bunds and US Treasury 10-year yield has come down from 279 basis points in 2018 to nearly 150 basis points currently. The smaller difference and prospect of European fiscal stimulus is bullish for Euro. Also, the Eurozone is a current account surplus country. On the other hand, the US is a current account deficit country, and higher fiscal stimulus will lead to worsening the trade balance further impacting the Dollar.
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commodities
Gold
Trend
Range 1810 - 1965
The yellow metal benefitted from a weaker Dollar after the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill to boost household checks to $2,000 from $600. The metal is headed for its first monthly gain in five as mounting global stimulus and roll-out of vaccines has renewed bets for inflation and weaker Dollar. Meanwhile, the subdued interest rate environment is further supporting the metal. However, anticipation of increased borrowing to fund economic recovery is keeping US treasury yields afloat and capping the metal’s upside. Nonetheless, the trend remains biased to the upside for now. Critical levels for gold are the 100-day MA at $1900, and the 200-Day EMA, which offers support at $1810. Only a daily close above or below those moving averages will suggest that golds range-trading is over and that a directional move is imminent.
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bonds
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index
Trend
Range 82.1 - 84.5
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index is a compelling option for exposure to short-term investment-grade corporate bonds. VCSH offers with only short-term bonds with an average duration of 2.8 years across the roughly 2,300 individual bonds in the portfolio. Chances are pretty low that firms like Goldman Sachs Group (GS) or Apple (AAPL) that make up this fund will disappear in the next year or two, so that makes this fund much less risky. Meanwhile, the roll-out of covid-19 vaccines and the much-awaited US stimulus will aid the economic recovery and boosts the profits of these companies.
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iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 85.1 - 89.5
iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. dollar-denominated, high yield corporate bonds. The prospects of larger stimulus checks coupled with successfull roll-out of covid-19 vaccines have bolstered hopes of a strong economic rebound next year which will also help these companies add to their top and bottom lines.
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iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 136.5 - 139.2
As part of its policy kit, the Fed announced that in addition to a Primary Market Corporate Credit Facility, it would also buy Investment Grade bonds in the secondary market. The Fed created a SPV that will purchase in the secondary market corporate debt issued by eligible issuers. What is more interesting is that the SPV will purchase eligible individual corporate bonds as well as eligible corporate bond portfolios in the form of exchange traded funds (ETFs) in the secondary market. In other words, The Fed Is Now Buying Investment Grade Bond ETFs like iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) which should boost their prices.
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iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 116.1 - 120.8
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF  (AGG) is one of the 10 largest ETFs on Wall Street and one of the most popular fixed-income options. This fund offers broad exposure to U.S. investment-grade bonds, including Treasury bonds, agency mortgage debt from government-backed entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and corporate bonds from highly-rated firms like Bank of America Corp. (BAC). There is built-in diversification and a focus on lower risk. AGG also offers a scale and liquidity that appeals to investors as the fund boasts almost $67 billion in assets and regularly trades north of 3 million shares each day.
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Data Source: Bloomberg

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.
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