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Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors.
Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved
Trading in financial markets involves significant risk of loss which can exceed deposits and may not be suitable for all investors. Before trading, please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved

Portfolio Mix

Click on the dial to see the conservative, moderate & aggressive portfolio strategies.

Asset Allocation
10%
Equities
10%
Indices
10%
Forex
20%
Commodities
50%
Bonds
Note: This is for illustrative purposes only and there is no obligation to accept the asset allocations suggested by this tool.
Instruments
Description
Trend
Trading Range
equites
Pfizer Inc
Trend
Range 35.00 - 38.85
Pfizer has spent $800 million to build the leading production platform for gene therapies, as it plans to become a fast-growing innovator. Within three years, the drug giant hopes to launch three potential cures for hemophilia and muscular dystrophy, worth as much as $4 billion in annual revenue. In addition to its rare-disease treatments, Pfizer plans to launch four products for autoimmune disorders by 2025. Two of the products would treat atopic dermatitis, which causes painful itching in up to 30 million Americans. Only a portion of those patients get any treatment today. Pfizer is eager to recast itself as a high-multiple growth stock. By yearend, its slower-selling products will be spun off into a business run by Mylan (MYL). From that point, Pfizer thinks it can boost revenue by 6% a year, despite the patent expirations of nearly $20 billion worth of its products in the latter part of this decade. The expected growth will be fired up by 25 product launches.
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indeces
SPX 500
Trend
Range 3200 - 3560
The $2.4 trillion proposal from Democrats has raised the hopes of a US stimulus package, even though Republicans have put a cap of $1.5 trillion on the extra spending. Anyway, the Democrat proposal spurred the market sentiments for a short while. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin also talked about the need for a targeted pandemic relief package. All of this sounds like a stimulus deal is possible. Nonetheless, a sell off looks like a strong possibility, And a new deal might just be delaying the inevitable.US Dollar index has broken out to the upside, reclaiming the 50 day simple moving average (SMA). It is worth noting that US Dollar and the equity markets have been exhibiting a strong negative correlation in the past few months. Moreover, President Donald Trump nominated Amy Coney Barrett, a conservative federal appeals court judge, to the US Supreme Court and this could escalate the political tensions again. With the elections nearby, volatility could rise as Biden continues to lead against the incumbent.
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forex
USD/CHF
Trend
Range 0.9050 - 0.9390
In its last week’s monetary policy meet, Swiss National Bank has clearly announced its intentions of massive intervention in the FX market should CHF rally on back of its safe haven appeal. The bank said it intends to pursue its ultra expansionary monetary policy for the foreseeable future on the back of market uncertainty & expectations of lower growth. SNB has sold more than $98bn worth of CHF in the H1 of this year, one of its most aggressive efforts in recent history to suppress its national currency. A sharp rise in CHF's value would be devastating for Switzerland’s large manufacturing and export based economy. As a percentage of GDP, exports roughly account for 65 % of the entire GDP.
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commodities
Gold
Trend
Range 1800 - 2000
Gold prices rebounded from the lows of $1848 as the King Dollar retraced from two-month highs. Improved risk sentiments on rekindled stimulus hopes seem to be weighing on the safe-haven Dollar and buoying the yellow metal. U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she hoped for a deal with the White House this week, following talks with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. The path higher for gold will be messy and volatile, but buying the dips could make sense from a long-term point of view. Negative real rate and stimulus support from government should support the metal in the long-run. Immediate support for the metal is seen near the 100 Day MA near $1845, a break below which would open doors to $1800 zone, while bulls need to break above $1900 zone to target $1930 and $1950 levels.
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bonds
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index
Trend
Range 80.2 - 86.0
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index is a compelling option for exposure to short-term investment-grade corporate bonds. VCSH offers with only short-term bonds with an average duration of 2.8 years across the roughly 2,300 individual bonds in the portfolio. Chances are pretty low that firms like Goldman Sachs Group (GS) or Apple (AAPL) that make up this fund will disappear in the next year or two, so that makes this fund much less risky. The trade-off, of course, is a lower yield than many other bond ETFs. However, Fed’s new policy framework is likely to mean lower benchmark interest rates for longer and a potential pick-up in long dormant inflation. This is a perennial risk to long-term investors in bonds because it eats away at their returns and hence could lead to a boost in demand for short-term bonds.
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VanEck Vectors High-Yield Municipal Index ETF
Trend
Range 57.0 - 63.5
The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Custom High Yield Composite Index. The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in securities that comprise the benchmark index. The index is comprised of publicly traded municipal bonds that cover the U.S. dollar denominated high yield long-term tax-exempt bond market.Bloomberg Barclays Municipal Custom High Yield Composite Index (LMEHTR) is intended to track the overall performance of the U.S. dollar denominated high yield long-term tax-exempt bond market. It is comprised of highest-yielding municipal bonds with income generally exempt from federal taxes.
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iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Trend
Range 130.0 - 140.0
As part of its policy kit, the Fed announced that in addition to a Primary Market Corporate Credit Facility, it would also buy Investment Grade bonds in the secondary market. The Fed created a SPV that will purchase in the secondary market corporate debt issued by eligible issuers. What is more interesting is that the SPV will purchase eligible individual corporate bonds as well as eligible corporate bond portfolios in the form of exchange traded funds (ETFs) in the secondary market. In other words, The Fed Is Now Buying Investment Grade Bond ETFs like iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) which should boost their prices.
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US T-Bond ultra - DEC 2020
Trend
Range 215 - 232
Treasury yields came under pressure last week as risk-averse sentiments gripped the investors. Uncertainity over fiscal stimulus and worries over surge in coronavirus infections ahead of the flu season and f of a contested U.S. presidential election between President Donald Trump and challenger former Vice President Joe Biden have contributed to investor jitters, helping underpin demand for assets perceived as havens. With lofty equity valuations and intense election uncertainty round the corner, market volatility is expected to continue and investors have ample reasons to back up long term bonds.
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Data Source: Bloomberg

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

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The product and investment ideas do not consider the risk profile and financial position of the recipient and may not be suitable for everyone.
Trading in financial markets involves a significant risk of loss, which can exceed deposits. Please read the complete disclaimer carefully.
DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.
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